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A torn European Union flag is placed on Euro banknotes, September 7, 2022 in this picture illustration. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
Euro zone government bond yields were little changed on Wednesday as markets were kept in check by caution about looming U.S. tariffs next week and their potential impact on economic growth.
The spotlight, however, was on Britain ahead of what is expected to be tough budget update later in the day.
British finance minister Rachel Reeves is likely to announce cuts to spending plans in an attempt to show investors she can be trusted to fix the public finances as growth falters.
The German 10-year bond yield, the benchmark for the euro zone bloc, was about flat at 2.791%. It hit a one-week high of 2.831% on Tuesday as hopes for U.S. tariff concessions drove investors to riskier assets.
It has gained more than 40 basis points so far this month, chiefly due to Germany's plan to massively boost spending to revive growth in Europe's largest economy.
"Considering that we should see a bit more stronger growth going forward in Europe, I think the risk-reward is probably skewed towards higher yields into the second quarter," said Kenneth Broux, head of corporate research FX and rates at Societe Generale.
"But the tariff story is in the background and ... we can't ignore that at all," Broux added.
The European Union's trade commissioner Maros Sefcovic met with U.S. President Donald Trump's top trade officials on Tuesday to try to avoid steep U.S. tariffs on EU goods next week.
Some countries are preparing trade concessions ahead of Trump's April 2 announcement of reciprocal tariffs. Trump said this week some countries would get breaks, without giving further details.
"There's so many other factors that need to come ...on the 2nd of April, we have the tariff announcement by the U.S., is there going to be further escalation from the European Union, what does that mean for inflation growth," Broux said.
The ECB has not committed to any decision on rates in its next meeting in April. Data, including that for Spain and France inflation on Friday, will be important.
The Germany 2-year bond yield, more sensitive to ECB policy rates, was little changed at 2.132%.
Markets are pricing in a ECB deposit rate at roughly 1.98% at the end of 2025.
Italy's 10-year yield was about flat at 3.898%, and the gap between Italian and German 10-year bond yields was 110 bps.
Britain's 10-year government bond yield was down 2 bps at 4.372% after weaker-than-expected UK inflation data.
(Reporting by Yadarisa Shabong in Bengaluru; Editing by Andrew Heavens and Kim Coghill)